The Influence of the Shadow Economy and Corruption on Public Debt inEuropean Union Countries pre and post Covid-19

This study aims to analyze the influence of the shadow economy and corruption on public debt in EU countries pre-and post-COVID-19, during 2003pre-and post-COVID-19, during -2021, focusing on the challenges arising from recovery efforts after the COVID-19 pandemic.Using the GMM model, the results indicate that the informal economy has a negative impact on public debt in most models, while corruption increases the accumulation of debt.GDP per capita also negatively impacts debt, while unemployment rates are positively associated with an increase in debt due to social expenditures.Inflation and investment negatively impact debt, while population growth and trade exhibit complex effects.The study recommends stimulating the transition to the formal economy, improving transparency and combating corruption, enhancing economic growth, controlling inflation, supporting public investment, and promoting international trade to address public debt challenges.

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Publication Details

Journal
Ovidius University Annals Economic Sciences Series
Published
2025-02-20
DOI
https://doi.org/10.61801/ouaess.2024.2.25
Primary Topic
Taxation and Compliance Studies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

The Influence of the Shadow Economy and Corruption on Public Debt inEuropean Union Countries pre and post Covid-19

Asmaa El-Naser
Ovidius University Annals Economic Sciences Series
Taxation and Compliance Studies
article

The Influence of the Shadow Economy and Corruption on Public Debt inEuropean Union Countries pre and post Covid-19

Asmaa El-Naser
article en

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the influence of the shadow economy and corruption on public debt in EU countries pre-and post-COVID-19, during 2003pre-and post-COVID-19, during -2021, focusing on the challenges arising from recovery efforts after the COVID-19 pandemic.Using the GMM model, the results indicate that the informal economy has a negative impact on public debt in most models, while corruption increases the accumulation of debt.GDP per capita also negatively impacts debt, while unemployment rates are positively associated with an increase in debt due to social expenditures.Inflation and investment negatively impact debt, while population growth and trade exhibit complex effects.The study recommends stimulating the transition to the formal economy, improving transparency and combating corruption, enhancing economic growth, controlling inflation, supporting public investment, and promoting international trade to address public debt challenges.

Ovidius University Annals Economic Sciences SeriesVol. 24(2)
Transylvania University of Brașov (RO)
Peace, Justice and strong institutions
Openalex Percentile: Top 93%
Taxation and Compliance Studies
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