A Novel Network for Short-Term Wind Speed Prediction: Mitigating Distribution Shift and Feature Loss

Accurate wind speed forecasting is essential for mitigating the challenges of wind power grid integration. However, existing wind speed prediction models overlook the distributional shift problem within wind speed series, and this time-varying distribution can significantly impact wind prediction accuracy. In this paper, we propose the Distribution Shift and Feature Decoupling Network (DSFD-Net), which addresses the issue of distributional shifts occurring both within the input series and between the input and predicted series through a distribution matching model and distribution mapping module, respectively. Additionally, we introduce a feature decoupling module to mitigate the feature loss encountered in our work. We conduct extensive experiments on two datasets, and comprehensive experimental results demonstrate that DSFD-Net achieves at least a 4.1% reduction in error metrics compared to other wind speed forecasting models, indicating superior performance.

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Publication Details

Published
2025-03-12
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/icassp49660.2025.10888026
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.73

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article

A Novel Network for Short-Term Wind Speed Prediction: Mitigating Distribution Shift and Feature Loss

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article

A Novel Network for Short-Term Wind Speed Prediction: Mitigating Distribution Shift and Feature Loss

Shengkang Dong, Zhenhua Shang, Yingzhou Sun, Yu Mei, Zhiqiang Liu, Xuewei Li
article en
1 citations

Abstract

Accurate wind speed forecasting is essential for mitigating the challenges of wind power grid integration. However, existing wind speed prediction models overlook the distributional shift problem within wind speed series, and this time-varying distribution can significantly impact wind prediction accuracy. In this paper, we propose the Distribution Shift and Feature Decoupling Network (DSFD-Net), which addresses the issue of distributional shifts occurring both within the input series and between the input and predicted series through a distribution matching model and distribution mapping module, respectively. Additionally, we introduce a feature decoupling module to mitigate the feature loss encountered in our work. We conduct extensive experiments on two datasets, and comprehensive experimental results demonstrate that DSFD-Net achieves at least a 4.1% reduction in error metrics compared to other wind speed forecasting models, indicating superior performance.

Tianjin University (CN)
National Key Research and Development Program of China
Affordable and clean energy
Openalex Percentile: Top 31%
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
0.73
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