Pension underfunding and the expected return on pension assets: The impact of the 2008 financial crisis

Abstract We use the 2008 crisis as an exogenous shock to the pension funding status of U.S. corporate defined benefit (DB) pension plans to examine its impact on the assumption of the expected return on pension assets ( ER ). Contrary to prior literature, we find that DB pension plans transitioning from funded to underfunded status make expense‐reducing assumptions by increasing their ER . We also document that the ER manipulation is larger for plans whose funding after 2008 drops significantly. The funding deterioration conservatively generates a 28–79 basis points increase in ER , reducing the pension accounting expense by about 5.23%–14.76% ($3.49 to $9.85 million). Our results are robust to controlling for the shock induced by the global financial crisis on corporate performance and other potential channels affecting ER .

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Risk & Insurance
Published
2025-03-02
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1111/jori.70003
Citations
4
Primary Topic
Financial Literacy, Pension, Retirement Analysis
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
7.82
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article

Pension underfunding and the expected return on pension assets: The impact of the 2008 financial crisis

Alexander Michaelides, Panayiotis Papakyriakou, Andreas Milidonis
4 citations
Journal of Risk & Insurance
Financial Literacy, Pension, Retirement Analysis
7.82
article

Pension underfunding and the expected return on pension assets: The impact of the 2008 financial crisis

Alexander Michaelides, Panayiotis Papakyriakou, Andreas Milidonis
article en
4 citations

Abstract

Abstract We use the 2008 crisis as an exogenous shock to the pension funding status of U.S. corporate defined benefit (DB) pension plans to examine its impact on the assumption of the expected return on pension assets ( ER ). Contrary to prior literature, we find that DB pension plans transitioning from funded to underfunded status make expense‐reducing assumptions by increasing their ER . We also document that the ER manipulation is larger for plans whose funding after 2008 drops significantly. The funding deterioration conservatively generates a 28–79 basis points increase in ER , reducing the pension accounting expense by about 5.23%–14.76% ($3.49 to $9.85 million). Our results are robust to controlling for the shock induced by the global financial crisis on corporate performance and other potential channels affecting ER .

Journal of Risk & InsuranceVol. 92(3)
University of Cyprus (CY), University of Southampton (GB), Imperial College London (GB)
Openalex Percentile: Top 4%
Financial Literacy, Pension, Retirement Analysis
7.82
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