Joint Prediction of SOH and RUL for Lithium Batteries Considering Capacity Self Recovery and Model Drift

Accurate monitoring of the state of health (SOH) and remaining useful life (RUL) of lithium batteries is a key technology to realize their stable and economic operation. The current data-driven methods have problems such as local prediction errors caused by capacity self-recovery effect, model drift phenomenon, and inaccurate trend prediction caused by complex degradation process. In this article, we propose a joint SOH and RUL forecasting based on the fusion of kolmogorov-Arnold network (KAN), deep bidirectional long short-term memory network (DBLSTM) and adaptive mechanism method (KAN-HDBLSTM-AM). The method innovatively introduces an adaptive mechanism that considers the capacity degradation trend for different prediction steps, suppresses the accumulation of errors in the model prediction process, and further improves the prediction accuracy by combining the nonlinear approximation capability of KAN and the mastery of data temporal characteristics of DBLSTM. Experimental validation shows that the proposed method can effectively overcome the prediction errors caused by capacity self-recovery and model drift, and can retain sufficient accuracy under long prediction steps, with the prediction trend being more in line with the actual change trend and the prediction error being smaller compared with other methods.