An XAI-based meta-parameter tuning for time-series forecasting

Abstract How can we efficiently determine meta-parameter values for deep learning-based time-series forecasting given a time-series dataset? This paper introduces Xtune , an efficient and novel meta-parameter tuning method for deep learning-based time-series forecasting, leveraging explainable AI techniques. In particular, this study focuses on optimizing the window size for time-series forecasting. Xtune determines the optimal meta-parameter value for these methods and can also be applied to tune the window size for anomaly detection methods that utilize deep learning-based time-series forecasting. Extensive experiments on real-world datasets and forecasting methods demonstrate that Xtune efficiently identifies the optimal meta-parameter value and consistently outperforms the existing methods in terms of execution speed.

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Publication Details

Journal
Annals of Mathematics and Artificial Intelligence
Published
2025-03-11
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10472-025-09973-x
Primary Topic
Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

An XAI-based meta-parameter tuning for time-series forecasting

Tatsuhiro Tsuchiya, Shimon Sumita, Hiroyuki Nakagawa, Ryuichi Iida
Annals of Mathematics and Artificial Intelligence
Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
article

An XAI-based meta-parameter tuning for time-series forecasting

Tatsuhiro Tsuchiya, Shimon Sumita, Hiroyuki Nakagawa, Ryuichi Iida
article en

Abstract

Abstract How can we efficiently determine meta-parameter values for deep learning-based time-series forecasting given a time-series dataset? This paper introduces Xtune , an efficient and novel meta-parameter tuning method for deep learning-based time-series forecasting, leveraging explainable AI techniques. In particular, this study focuses on optimizing the window size for time-series forecasting. Xtune determines the optimal meta-parameter value for these methods and can also be applied to tune the window size for anomaly detection methods that utilize deep learning-based time-series forecasting. Extensive experiments on real-world datasets and forecasting methods demonstrate that Xtune efficiently identifies the optimal meta-parameter value and consistently outperforms the existing methods in terms of execution speed.

Annals of Mathematics and Artificial IntelligenceVol. 94(1)
Okayama University (JP), The University of Osaka (JP)
Okayama University
Openalex Percentile: Top 96%
Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
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