Analysis of Recidivism Characteristics and Risk Factors of Stalking Temporary Restraining Order Violators Using Stalking Case Judgments

This study analyzed the recidivism characteristics and risk factors of stalking temporary restraining order violators and proposed preventive intervention strategies. First-instance court judgments related to stalking crimes were examined, coding demographic characteristics, crime-specific factors, and types of stalking behavior. The analysis identified significant differences between recidivist and non-recidivist groups in perpetrator and victim gender ratios, stalking duration, and acknowledgment of guilt. Recidivists demonstrated higher frequencies of behaviors such as surveillance, following, gathering personal information via social media, gaslighting, self-harm threats, physical assault, and the progressive escalation of stalking severity, as well as more frequent police interventions. Logistic regression revealed that surveillance and gathering personal information via social media were significant predictors of recidivism. Based on these findings, the study proposes legal and institutional reforms alongside practical measures to effectively prevent stalking recidivism.