Smart Solar Forecasting: Machine Learning Approaches for Predicting Solar Power

Solar energy is one of the most popular renewable energy sources in recent years. These solar systems not only reduce the need for electricity but also greatly improve the environment. Due to our excessive dependence on fossil fuels and their limited sources and the pollution caused by them, most people are turning to solar energy to power their homes and industries. It's critical to understand the location of the solar panel and the local weather since solar power efficiency is highly dependent on environmental factors. With the inherent unpredictability of photovoltaic power output, machine learning is a useful tool for predicting how weather conditions affect solar power plants, and there are various other viable prediction methods available. This research evaluates several meteorological characteristics for PV forecasting using numerous machine learning algorithms. Using the collected historical data set, a machine learning model is created. Necessary preprocessing techniques such as univariate and bivariate analysis are used. Machine learning algorithms benefit from data visualization as it makes it easier to understand features and create a robust classification model. Accuracy-related performance metrics such as MAE, MSE, and RMSE are used to compare the methods. We evaluate and contrast the various models' performances. This evaluation approach helps to choose the algorithm that best suits the task at hand.

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Publication Details

Published
2024-12-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/tencon61640.2024.10902995
Citations
6
Primary Topic
Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
2.08
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Smart Solar Forecasting: Machine Learning Approaches for Predicting Solar Power

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6 citations
Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics
2.08
article

Smart Solar Forecasting: Machine Learning Approaches for Predicting Solar Power

Surmila Thokchom, Gayadhar Panda, Madhav Kumar, Kaibalya Prasad Panda, Santanu Borgohain
article en
6 citations

Abstract

Solar energy is one of the most popular renewable energy sources in recent years. These solar systems not only reduce the need for electricity but also greatly improve the environment. Due to our excessive dependence on fossil fuels and their limited sources and the pollution caused by them, most people are turning to solar energy to power their homes and industries. It's critical to understand the location of the solar panel and the local weather since solar power efficiency is highly dependent on environmental factors. With the inherent unpredictability of photovoltaic power output, machine learning is a useful tool for predicting how weather conditions affect solar power plants, and there are various other viable prediction methods available. This research evaluates several meteorological characteristics for PV forecasting using numerous machine learning algorithms. Using the collected historical data set, a machine learning model is created. Necessary preprocessing techniques such as univariate and bivariate analysis are used. Machine learning algorithms benefit from data visualization as it makes it easier to understand features and create a robust classification model. Accuracy-related performance metrics such as MAE, MSE, and RMSE are used to compare the methods. We evaluate and contrast the various models' performances. This evaluation approach helps to choose the algorithm that best suits the task at hand.

Pandit Deendayal Energy University (IN), National Institute of Technical Teachers’ Training and Research (IN), National Institute of Technology Meghalaya (IN)
Affordable and clean energy
Openalex Percentile: Top 11%
Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics
2.08
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