Nivolumab plus chemotherapy or ipilimumab in gastroesophageal cancer: exploratory biomarker analyses of a randomized phase 3 trial
First-line nivolumab-plus-chemotherapy demonstrated superior overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival versus chemotherapy for advanced gastroesophageal adenocarcinoma with programmed death ligand 1 combined positive score ≥ 5, meeting both primary end points of the randomized phase 3 CheckMate 649 trial. Nivolumab-plus-ipilimumab provided durable responses and higher survival rates versus chemotherapy; however, the prespecified OS significance boundary was not met. To identify biomarkers predictive of differential efficacy outcomes, post hoc exploratory analyses were performed using whole-exome sequencing and RNA sequencing. Nivolumab-based therapies demonstrated improved efficacy versus chemotherapy in hypermutated and, to a lesser degree, Epstein-Barr virus-positive tumors compared with chromosomally unstable and genomically stable tumors. Within the KRAS-altered subgroup, only patients treated with nivolumab-plus-chemotherapy demonstrated improved OS benefit versus chemotherapy. Low stroma gene expression signature scores were associated with OS benefit with nivolumab-based regimens; high regulatory T cell signatures were associated with OS benefit only with nivolumab-plus-ipilimumab. Our analyses suggest that distinct and overlapping pathways contribute to the efficacy of nivolumab-based regimens in gastroesophageal adenocarcinoma.
Authors
- Tomasz Skoczylas (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1276-3828)
- Parul Doshi (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5399-5844)
- Kynan Feeney
- Aparna Chhibber (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0675-9096)
- Kohei Shitara (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5196-3630)
- Yelena Y. Janjigian (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5357-5858)
- Rubén Dario Kowalyszyn (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2672-7913)
- Michael Schenker (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2645-6391)
- Arinilda Campos Bragagnoli (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5165-0797)
- Markus Moehler
- Jaffer A. Ajani (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9946-0629)
- Patricio Yañez (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0008-5845-831X)
- Mingshun Li
- Jin Yao
- Ming Lei (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1292-5911)
- Marcelo Garrido (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8905-8986)
- Thomas Zander (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4266-6818)
- Michalis V. Karamouzis (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1369-8201)
- Xuya Wang (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5538-5217)
- Kensei Yamaguchi (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6887-5709)
- Tianshu Liu (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8604-6311)
- Lin Shen (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1205-049X)
- Carlos Gallardo (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6516-395X)
- Dimple Pandya
- Lucjan Wyrwicz
- Elena Elimova
Institutions
- Universidad Mayor (CL)
- Universidad de La Frontera (CL)
- Edith Cowan University (AU)
- Medical University of Lublin (PL)
- Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center (US)
- The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center (US)
- Sun Yat-sen University (CN)
- Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile (CL)
- Eli Lilly (United States) (US)
- Johannes Gutenberg University Mainz (DE)
- National and Kapodistrian University of Athens (GR)
- Peking University (CN)
- Cornell University (US)
- Fudan University (CN)
- Princess Margaret Cancer Centre (CA)
- Bristol-Myers Squibb (United States) (US)
- Hospital de Câncer de Barretos (BR)
- Peking University Cancer Hospital (CN)
- Zhongshan Hospital (CN)
- The First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University (CN)
- Bristol-Myers Squibb (Sweden) (SE)
- Fundación Arturo López Pérez (CL)
- Gilead Sciences (United States) (US)
- National Cancer Center Hospital East (JP)
- University Hospital Cologne (DE)
- Daiichi Sankyo (United States) (US)
- Japanese Foundation For Cancer Research (JP)
- Nagoya University (JP)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Nature Medicine
- Published
- 2025-03-07
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591-025-03575-0
- Citations
- 18
- Primary Topic
- Cancer Immunotherapy and Biomarkers
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 18.82
Funders
- Bristol-Myers Squibb
- Ono Pharmaceutical