Narrow Margins: Aerobic Performance and Temperature Tolerance of Coral Reef Fishes Facing Extreme Thermal Variability

Climate change is driving rising average sea temperatures and the intensification of thermal variability. Tropical coral reef fishes have evolved under thermally stable conditions to function optimally within a narrow temperature range, with many currently living close to their upper thermal limits. However, recent work has demonstrated that some species possess additional capacity, such as reductions in basal metabolic rates (i.e., 'plastic floors'), to compensate for the acute effects of thermal challenges when assessed over multigenerational timeframes. In this study, we use the 'plastic floors and concrete ceilings' hypothesis to generate and then test predictions regarding the thermal physiology of reef fishes in the world's hottest and most thermally variable coral reef ecosystem (southern Arabian/Persian Gulf). By comparing three species of reef fishes (Scolopsis ghanam, Ecsenius pulcher and Cheilodipterus novemstriatus) from the southern Arabian/Persian Gulf, with an annual temperature range of 18.0°C-36.5°C, to conspecifics from nearby but more thermally benign (~21.0°C-32.0°C) reefs in the Gulf of Oman, we find enhanced upper thermal limits and a broadening of the temperature performance curves for aerobic scope in the Arabian/Persian Gulf, but no evidence for changes in basal metabolic rates ('plastic floors'). Despite these conserved increases in temperature tolerance, the summer thermal safety margins of Arabian/Persian Gulf fishes were 1.47°C lower than those of conspecifics from the Gulf of Oman, demonstrating that while the temperature tolerance of tropical coral reef fishes is somewhat plastic over multigenerational timeframes, its rate of change is likely insufficient to keep pace with the rising average temperatures and growing thermal variability expected under climate change.