Spatial Effects and Driving Factors of Consumption Upgrades on Municipal Solid Waste Eco-Efficiency, Considering Emission Outputs

To achieve the goal of building zero-waste cities, managing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions generated from municipal solid waste (MSW) treatment is a critical step toward carbon neutrality. Waste produced by consumption activities constitutes an essential component of MSW management. Using the Super Slacks-Based Measure Data Envelopment Analysis (SSBM-DEA) model and the Spatial Durbin Model (SDM), this study investigates the spatial impacts of consumption upgrading (CU) on municipal waste management across 30 provinces in China, with a particular focus on GHGs as undesirable outputs. In this study, we construct a framework from the dimensions of consumption level, consumption structure, and green consumption. Additionally, other socioeconomic factors influencing waste management are explored. The results indicate a convergence trend in the uneven distribution of consumption upgrading, with the gaps between regions gradually narrowing. Consumption upgrading significantly enhances the eco-efficiency of local waste management and exhibits notable spatial spillover effects, positively influencing the eco-efficiency of neighboring regions. Furthermore, the promotion effect of consumption upgrading on the central and western regions, compared with the eastern region, is more pronounced. This indicates that the technological catch-up resulting from consumption upgrading, supported by policies, can further enhance the eco-efficiency of MSW. This study also provides insights for other regions transitioning from scale expansion to high-quality development in waste management.