Potentiality Delineation of Groundwater Recharge in Arid Regions Using Multi-Criteria Analysis

This study integrates morphometric analysis, remote sensing, and GIS with the analytical hierarchical process (AHP) to identify high potential groundwater recharge areas in Wadi Abadi, Egyptian Eastern Desert, supporting sustainable water resource management. Groundwater recharge primarily comes from rainfall and Nile River water, particularly for Quaternary aquifers. The analysis focused on the Quaternary and Nubian Sandstone aquifers, evaluating 16 influencing parameters, including elevation, slope, rainfall, lithology, soil type, and land use/land cover (LULC). The drainage network was derived from a 30 m-resolution Digital Elevation Model (DEM). ArcGIS 10.8 was used to classify the basin into 13 sub-basins, with layers reclassified and weighted using a raster calculator. The groundwater potential map revealed that 24.95% and 29.87% of the area fall into very low and moderate potential categories, respectively, while low, high, and very high potential zones account for 18.62%, 17.65%, and 8.91%. Data from 41 observation wells were used to verify the potential groundwater resources. In this study, the ROC curve was applied to assess the accuracy of the GWPZ models generated through different methods. The validation results indicated that approximately 87% of the wells corresponded accurately with the designated zones on the GWPZ map, confirming its reliability. Over-pumping in the southwest has significantly lowered water levels in the Quaternary aquifer. This study provides a systematic approach for identifying groundwater recharge zones, offering insights that can support resource allocation, well placement, and aquifer sustainability in arid regions. This study also underscores the importance of recharge assessment for shallow aquifers, even in hyper-arid environments.