Fragility under joint financing: The (moral) hazards of diversification

We study the effect of investment growth on firms' incentives under moral hazard. Adding value-increasing, but risky projects to a firm's portfolio can weaken incentives for safer ones, even when returns are independent. While the firm diversifies its sources of income, this risk contamination channel can increase its fragility. Such fragility is exacerbated in the presence of news about the value of investments. Firms can mitigate these effects by selecting safer new investments at the expense of value creation. Our model thus predicts that large firms or merged firms may be riskier or less productive than smaller firms.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Economic Theory
Published
2025-03-06
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jet.2025.105990
Primary Topic
Banking stability, regulation, efficiency
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Fragility under joint financing: The (moral) hazards of diversification

Vincent Maurin, Cyril Monnet, Piero Gottardi
Journal of Economic Theory
Banking stability, regulation, efficiency
article

Fragility under joint financing: The (moral) hazards of diversification

Vincent Maurin, Cyril Monnet, Piero Gottardi
article en

Abstract

We study the effect of investment growth on firms' incentives under moral hazard. Adding value-increasing, but risky projects to a firm's portfolio can weaken incentives for safer ones, even when returns are independent. While the firm diversifies its sources of income, this risk contamination channel can increase its fragility. Such fragility is exacerbated in the presence of news about the value of investments. Firms can mitigate these effects by selecting safer new investments at the expense of value creation. Our model thus predicts that large firms or merged firms may be riskier or less productive than smaller firms.

Journal of Economic TheoryVol. 225
University of Essex (GB), University of Bern (CH), HEC Paris (FR)
Decent work and economic growth
Openalex Percentile: Top 94%
Banking stability, regulation, efficiency
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Fragility under joint financing: The (moral) hazards of diversification — Vincent Maurin, Cyril Monnet, et al. · Journal of Economic Theory (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS