Deep charge-fusion model: Advanced hybrid modelling for predicting electric vehicle charging patterns with socio-demographic considerations

This study examines electric vehicle (EV) charging behaviours across 5,898 participants from various socio-demographic backgrounds, using both statistical analysis and deep learning models. Exploratory data analysis (EDA) and Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) show that factors such as gender, education, employment status, household size, income, and housing type significantly influence charging behaviours at home, work, and fast-charging stations. Education notably impacts home charging (F = 2.54, p = 0.04), while household income strongly affects fast charging behaviour (F = 5.34, p = 0.001). A hybrid deep learning model, Deep Charge-Fusion, was developed by combining Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks, and eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost). CNNs capture spatial patterns for regional charging, while LSTMs model temporal dependencies in charging patterns. XGBoost adds efficiency by managing structured data and preventing overfitting through regularisation. Dropout layers were introduced in the LSTM network to reduce overfitting. The Deep Charge-Fusion model achieved an R 2 value of 0.81 for predicting fast-charging behaviours, outperforming standalone models such as Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU)-based (R 2 = 0.51) and LSTM-based (R 2 = 0.43) models. It also achieved an R 2 of 0.81 for home charging predictions. These results underscore the role of socio-demographic factors and demonstrate that hybrid models significantly improve predictive accuracy, with implications for EV infrastructure planning and energy management strategies.

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Publication Details

Journal
International Journal of Transportation Science and Technology
Published
2025-03-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijtst.2025.03.002
Citations
7
Primary Topic
Electric Vehicles and Infrastructure
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
5.11
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article

Deep charge-fusion model: Advanced hybrid modelling for predicting electric vehicle charging patterns with socio-demographic considerations

Muhammed Cavus, Margaret Bell, Dilum Dissanayake, Huseyin Ayan et al.
7 citations
International Journal of Transportation Science and Technology
Electric Vehicles and Infrastructure
5.11
article

Deep charge-fusion model: Advanced hybrid modelling for predicting electric vehicle charging patterns with socio-demographic considerations

Muhammed Cavus, Margaret Bell, Dilum Dissanayake, Huseyin Ayan, Oluwole K. Oyebamiji
article en
7 citations

Abstract

This study examines electric vehicle (EV) charging behaviours across 5,898 participants from various socio-demographic backgrounds, using both statistical analysis and deep learning models. Exploratory data analysis (EDA) and Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) show that factors such as gender, education, employment status, household size, income, and housing type significantly influence charging behaviours at home, work, and fast-charging stations. Education notably impacts home charging (F = 2.54, p = 0.04), while household income strongly affects fast charging behaviour (F = 5.34, p = 0.001). A hybrid deep learning model, Deep Charge-Fusion, was developed by combining Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks, and eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost). CNNs capture spatial patterns for regional charging, while LSTMs model temporal dependencies in charging patterns. XGBoost adds efficiency by managing structured data and preventing overfitting through regularisation. Dropout layers were introduced in the LSTM network to reduce overfitting. The Deep Charge-Fusion model achieved an R 2 value of 0.81 for predicting fast-charging behaviours, outperforming standalone models such as Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU)-based (R 2 = 0.51) and LSTM-based (R 2 = 0.43) models. It also achieved an R 2 of 0.81 for home charging predictions. These results underscore the role of socio-demographic factors and demonstrate that hybrid models significantly improve predictive accuracy, with implications for EV infrastructure planning and energy management strategies.

International Journal of Transportation Science and Technology
Northumbria University (GB), Istanbul University-Cerrahpaşa (TR), İskenderun Technical University (TR), University of Birmingham (GB), Newcastle University (GB)
Openalex Percentile: Top 5%
Electric Vehicles and Infrastructure
5.11
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