High baseline levels of PD-L1 reduce the heterogeneity of immune checkpoint signature and sensitize anti-PD1 therapy in lung and colorectal cancers

Immune checkpoint blockade (ICB) therapy only induces durable responses in a subset of cancer patients. The underlying mechanisms of such selective efficacy remain largely unknown. By analyzing the expression profiles of immune checkpoint molecules in different statuses of murine tumors, we found that tumor progression generally randomly upregulated multiple immune checkpoints, thus increased the Heterogeneity of Immune checkpoint Signature (HIS) and resulted in immunotherapeutic resistance. Interestingly, overexpressing one pivotal immune checkpoint in a tumor hindered the upregulation of a majority of other immune checkpoint genes during tumor progression via suppressing interferon γ, resulting in HIS-low. Indeed, PD-L1 high-expression sensitized baseline large tumors to anti-PD1 therapy without altering the sensitivity of baseline small tumors. In line with these preclinical results, a retrospective analysis of a phase III study involving patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) revealed that PD-L1 tumor proportion score (TPS) ≥ 50% more reliably predicted therapeutic response in NSCLC patients with baseline tumor volume (BTV)-large compared to patients with BTV-small. Notably, TPS combined with BTV significantly improved the predictive accuracy. Collectively, the data suggest that HIS reflects the dynamic features of tumor immune evasion and dictates the selective efficacy of ICB in a tumor size-dependent manner, providing a potential novel strategy to improve precision ICB. These findings highlight the application of ICB to earlier stages of cancer patients. The integration of PD-L1 with BTV may immediately improve patient stratification and prediction performance in the clinic.