Robots, AI, and unemployment

Do robots and artificial intelligence (AI) cause joblessness? We develop a dynamic general equilibrium model with search-matching frictions. In our model, robots substitute routine human tasks, and AI substitutes abstract human tasks. We find a cutoff level for the elasticity of substitution between routine labor input and robots, above which an increase in robot productivity leads to increased unemployment. We examine a scenario in which AI-driven automation of abstract tasks transforms high-skilled workers into unskilled ones. A substantial productivity gain through AI is required to offset the output loss associated with this labor displacement.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
Published
2025-03-04
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2025.105069
Citations
3
Primary Topic
Labor market dynamics and wage inequality
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
9.39

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article

Robots, AI, and unemployment

Hiroaki Miyamoto, Noritaka Kudoh
3 citations
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
Labor market dynamics and wage inequality
9.39
article

Robots, AI, and unemployment

Hiroaki Miyamoto, Noritaka Kudoh
article en
3 citations

Abstract

Do robots and artificial intelligence (AI) cause joblessness? We develop a dynamic general equilibrium model with search-matching frictions. In our model, robots substitute routine human tasks, and AI substitutes abstract human tasks. We find a cutoff level for the elasticity of substitution between routine labor input and robots, above which an increase in robot productivity leads to increased unemployment. We examine a scenario in which AI-driven automation of abstract tasks transforms high-skilled workers into unskilled ones. A substantial productivity gain through AI is required to offset the output loss associated with this labor displacement.

Journal of Economic Dynamics and ControlVol. 174
Hitotsubashi University (JP), Nagoya University (JP)
Japan Society for the Promotion of Science
Openalex Percentile: Top 3%
Labor market dynamics and wage inequality
9.39
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