A Study on Herders’ Satisfaction with the Transfer of Grassland Contracting Rights and Its Influencing Factors

Grassland transfer is of great significance in promoting herders’ income, improving the ecological environment, promoting the socio-economic development of pastoral areas, and solving grass–animal conflicts. This paper takes West Ujimqin Banner, which is located in the typical grassland of Inner Mongolia, as a typical case, and analyzes the influencing factors of herders’ satisfaction with the transfer of grassland contracting rights through the field research data of herdsmen using a regression model and ROC curve. The study shows that herders’ satisfaction with the transfer of grassland contracting rights is high; the ROC curve test logistic model has a better prediction effect; and the factors that have a significant effect on herders’ satisfaction with the transfer of grassland contracting rights are gender, total annual income, annual non-herding income, whether the grassland is fully transferred, the rents, the satisfactory status of the grassland transfer policy, whether they are worried about not being able to find a job after the transfer, and other variables. Among them, gender has a small effect on herders’ grassland transfer satisfaction; variables such as rents, satisfactory status of the grassland transfer policy, and whether they are worried about not being able to find a job after the transfer have a medium effect on herders’ satisfaction; and variables such as total annual income, annual non-herding income, and whether the grassland is fully transferred have a large effect on herders’ satisfaction.