Estimating Dengue Outbreak Thresholds in West Africa: A Comprehensive Analysis of Climatic Influences in Burkina Faso, 2018–2024
This study established evidence-based epidemiological thresholds for dengue outbreak detection in Burkina Faso (2018-2024), demonstrating temperature as a primary transmission driver while precipitation showed inverse relationships. Analysis of the 2023 outbreak identified a critical five-week intervention window (weeks 40-45), providing a framework for climate-sensitive early warning systems. These findings advance the understanding of dengue dynamics in West Africa, though future research should integrate geographical and socioeconomic variables to enhance predictive modeling and outbreak preparedness.
Authors
- Tieble Traore
- Laurent Moyenga
- Alimuddin Zumla (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5111-5735)
- Otim Patrick Cossy Ramadan (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2326-9291)
- John Otokoye Otshudiema (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9946-7951)
- Samiratou Ouédraogo (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8224-5543)
- Emmanuel Chanda (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2095-8577)
- Watton Rodrigue Diao (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0009-5330-6197)
- Alain Ngoy Kapete
Institutions
- UCL Biomedical Research Centre (GB)
- World Health Organization Regional Office for Africa (CG)
- West African Health Organisation (BF)
- University College London (GB)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Tropical Medicine and Infectious Disease
- Published
- 2025-02-28
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.3390/tropicalmed10030066
- Citations
- 5
- Primary Topic
- Mosquito-borne diseases and control
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 9.39