Streamlining the monitoring and assessment of irrigation groundwater quality using machine learning techniques

Abstract Continuous evaluation of groundwater quality is vital for ensuring its long-term sustainability. However, traditional assessment methods for various purposes face challenges due to cost and time constraints. In this study, machine learning (ML) models, including Gaussian Process Regression (GPR), Decision Tree (DT), Support Vector Regression (SVR), and Artificial Neural Network (ANN), were employed to predict five irrigation water quality (IWQ) indices using only physical parameters (electrical conductivity (EC) and pH) and site conditions (Elevation, depth to water table, and distance to river). A dataset of 246 groundwater samples from the Eocene aquifer in Minia, Egypt, was collected and analyzed to measure groundwater quality parameters. Five combinations of the input parameters were utilized to calculate IWQ indices: sodium adsorption ratio (SAR), sodium percentage (Na %), total hardness (TH), permeability index (PI), and Kell’s ratio (KR). ML models were developed to estimate IWQ parameters based solely on physical measurements and site conditions. The results revealed that GPR, DT, SVR, and ANN strongly predicted all IWQ parameters during training. The results demonstrated that GPR accurately predicted groundwater quality, followed by DT, SVR, and ANN. The best performance of the GPR model was achieved during the fourth combination, which includes EC and distance to the river. The evaluation of GPR through the fourth combination revealed the highest accuracy with a correlation coefficient of 0.97, 0.82, 0.96, 0.87, and 0.81 in predicting SAR, %Na, TH, PI, and KR. The study emphasizes the capacity of machine learning models to efficiently employ readily available and quantifiable field data to predict IWQ characteristics. Moreover, the research findings, contributing to the second goal of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), “No Hunger,” and the sixth goal, “Clean water and sanitation,” have the potential to enhance agricultural productivity and water conservation.