Assessing the Dynamics of Major Cereals Productivity in Algeria: Case of Setif

In this study, five methods were used to find instability and the growth trend in yield for four cereal crops (Durum wheat, Bread Wheat, Barley, and Oats) in Setif -Algeria-. The data source used to evaluate the growth trends and instability in yield is the mean grain yield of ten years (2014-2024). The graphical analysis demonstrates that the growth trends in Bread wheat its positive; but the DCI -Cuddy Della Valle Index- classified it as a high-instability crop. In addition, the combined analysis of both instability indices (Coefficient of Variation (CV) and Coppock Instability Index (CII)) proved that both species of Barley and Oats are very unstable crops. The scarcity of data related to the crop unfortunately did not allow us to make a real assessment of the trend of growth and instability in the yield of the main crops used in Setif -Algeria.