Discrepancies in precipitation trends between observational and reanalysis datasets in the Amazon Basin

The Amazon rainforest is a region of global importance as it accounts for 10% of terrestrial biodiversity and stores at least 10 years' worth of global anthropogenic carbon dioxide ([Formula: see text]) emissions. However, the rainforest is currently under tremendous pressure from deforestation and the impacts of climate change, leading to rainforest degradation and perturbations of the regional carbon and water cycles. Using data sets from various sources, we produce spatial and temporal analyses of precipitation for the Amazon Basin from 1980 to 2022. Results demonstrate substantial seasonal and regional variations across the Amazon Basin, indicating that while some regions are experiencing increasing trends in precipitation, others are undergoing declines. These trends are not consistent among available datasets, with substantial differences between observational, reanalysis, and climate model data. For example, precipitation data from reanalyses for 1980-2022 reveal significant drying patterns in the southern and central Amazon during the dry season, which are not present in the observational datasets.

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Publication Details

Journal
Scientific Reports
Published
2025-03-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-87418-5
Citations
9
Primary Topic
Climate variability and models
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
9.95
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article

Discrepancies in precipitation trends between observational and reanalysis datasets in the Amazon Basin

Andrew Polasky, José D. Fuentes, Chris E. Forest, Vikrant Sapkota
9 citations
Scientific Reports
Climate variability and models
9.95
article

Discrepancies in precipitation trends between observational and reanalysis datasets in the Amazon Basin

Andrew Polasky, José D. Fuentes, Chris E. Forest, Vikrant Sapkota
article en
9 citations

Abstract

The Amazon rainforest is a region of global importance as it accounts for 10% of terrestrial biodiversity and stores at least 10 years' worth of global anthropogenic carbon dioxide ([Formula: see text]) emissions. However, the rainforest is currently under tremendous pressure from deforestation and the impacts of climate change, leading to rainforest degradation and perturbations of the regional carbon and water cycles. Using data sets from various sources, we produce spatial and temporal analyses of precipitation for the Amazon Basin from 1980 to 2022. Results demonstrate substantial seasonal and regional variations across the Amazon Basin, indicating that while some regions are experiencing increasing trends in precipitation, others are undergoing declines. These trends are not consistent among available datasets, with substantial differences between observational, reanalysis, and climate model data. For example, precipitation data from reanalyses for 1980-2022 reveal significant drying patterns in the southern and central Amazon during the dry season, which are not present in the observational datasets.

Scientific ReportsVol. 15(1)
Pennsylvania State University (US)
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 2%
Climate variability and models
9.95
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