Stochastic dynamical analysis and optimal control of the SIR epidemic model with transmission rate affected by lévy noise

Considering the influence of vaccination immunization time-delay and the unpredictability of natural environment changes, this study focuses on the dynamical behavior and optimal control of the SIR model with stochastic transmission rate and vaccination immunization time-delay. First, the existence and uniqueness of the global positive solution for the proposed model are proved by building the Lyapunov function. Second, the sufficient conditions of the disease extinction and persistence can be obtained. Furthermore, we apply Pontryagin’s stochastic maximum principle to determine the optimal control strategy for minimizing the spread of the disease. Finally, the numerical simulation verified theoretical results based on the tuberculosis data. From these we can find that the extinction and persistence of the disease are significantly affected by the Lévy noise intensity, the spread of the disease can be controlled by disease prevention and patient management in a short time.

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Publication Details

Journal
International Journal of Biomathematics
Published
2025-02-28
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1142/s1793524525500147
Primary Topic
Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
Type
article
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article

Stochastic dynamical analysis and optimal control of the SIR epidemic model with transmission rate affected by lévy noise

Xinyu Bai, Jinhua Ran, Shaojuan Ma, Jing Yang
International Journal of Biomathematics
Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
article

Stochastic dynamical analysis and optimal control of the SIR epidemic model with transmission rate affected by lévy noise

Xinyu Bai, Jinhua Ran, Shaojuan Ma, Jing Yang
article en

Abstract

Considering the influence of vaccination immunization time-delay and the unpredictability of natural environment changes, this study focuses on the dynamical behavior and optimal control of the SIR model with stochastic transmission rate and vaccination immunization time-delay. First, the existence and uniqueness of the global positive solution for the proposed model are proved by building the Lyapunov function. Second, the sufficient conditions of the disease extinction and persistence can be obtained. Furthermore, we apply Pontryagin’s stochastic maximum principle to determine the optimal control strategy for minimizing the spread of the disease. Finally, the numerical simulation verified theoretical results based on the tuberculosis data. From these we can find that the extinction and persistence of the disease are significantly affected by the Lévy noise intensity, the spread of the disease can be controlled by disease prevention and patient management in a short time.

International Journal of Biomathematics
Ningxia University (CN), North Minzu University (CN)
Good health and well-being
Openalex Percentile: Top 95%
Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
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Stochastic dynamical analysis and optimal control of the SIR epidemic model with transmission rate affected by lévy noise — Xinyu Bai, Jinhua Ran, et al. · International Journal of Biomathematics (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS