Prediction of Students’ Academic Performance: the Correlation between the Results of the Unified State Exam and Academic Success

<p>The purpose of the work is to study the impact of the USE results on the academic performance of university students. We analyzed the data accumulated during the operation of the university information system of a large regional university. We analized data on USE scores and diploma grades received during last 13 years of university education, applying linear regression and cohort analysis to identify correlations between USE scores and student performance in various specialties. The research results demonstrated a significant correlation between USE scores and the average academic performance of students in the university. It is noted that the USE scores should be included as additional explanatory variables when building models for evaluating the educational process. They can also be used to optimize the preparation process of students for university admission and subsequent education. This research is oriented on education professionals involved in assessing and improving the quality of the educational process.</p>