Ecosystem Service Trade-Offs and Synergies in a Temperate Agricultural Region in Northeast China

Ecosystem services (ESs) are essential for balancing environmental sustainability and socio-economic development. However, the sustainability of ESs and their relationships are increasingly threatened by global climate change and intensifying human activities, particularly in ecologically sensitive and agriculturally-intensive regions. The Songnen Plain, a crucial agricultural region in Northeast China, faces considerable challenges in sustaining its ESs due to the overexploitation of agricultural land, environmental degradation, and climate variability. This study assessed five key ESs in the Songnen Plain from 2000 to 2020 across multiple scales: habitat quality (HQ), soil conservation (SC), water yield (WY), food production (FP), and windbreaking and sand fixing (WS). We evaluated the trade-offs and synergies between these ESs, as well as the driving factors of the main ES trade-offs. Our findings indicate that provisioning services (WY and FP) and regulating services (SC and WS) improved over time, with FP exhibiting the most significant increase at 203.90%, while supporting services (HQ) declined by 32.61%. The primary ecosystem service multifunctionality areas were those that provided FP, SC, and WY, accounting for 58% of the total. ES trade-offs and synergies varied across spatial scales, with stronger synergies being observed at the pixel scale and more pronounced trade-offs at the county scale. Climate factors, particularly precipitation and temperature, played a more significant role in shaping ES trade-offs than anthropogenic factors. Our study provides valuable insights into the restoration and sustainable management of ESs in temperate agriculturally-intensive regions, with significant implications for the protection of the northeastern black soil region and safeguarding national food security.