Forecasting the Inventory of Milled Dry Grain Using the Lot Sizing Method at Markom Rice Mill

Today's industrial activities are increasing with sophisticated technology, all applied to satisfy consumers in various services. One of the important parts of an industry is the inventory of goods. This is related to the continuity of the resulting production. In meeting the needs of consumers, a plan is needed in production so that there is no shortage of raw materials and the production process does not stop. Grain is an agricultural commodity whose demand and production levels occasionally increase. We can see that until now, our country, Indonesia, still imports rice from other countries, where rice is the main production product produced from grain. The problem can be solved with the Lot sizing method used in this study, which is used to determine the size of the order quantity. In the rice mill itself, grain storage has a limited capacity, so it cannot be directly stored with a large capacity when the price of grain is down. Applying this method as an application will make it easier to manage grain inventory at the rice mill and estimate inventory costs for the next 1 () year. The results of the lot sizing calculation (silver meal) show that for the next year, the smallest cost of procurement of dry milled grain (MDG) demand is obtained from the procurement of demand every month. In other words, procurement is more appropriate every month or period so that the costs incurred for grain inventory are smaller. The following data are the results of the silver meal lot sizing calculation: (1) 39015.4 kg, (2) 35871.2 kg, (3) 39536 kg, (4) 33894.8 kg, (5) 31402 kg, (6) 27982.5 kg, (7) 41461.9 kg, (8) 35336.7 kg, (9) 41305.6 kg, (10) 45717.5 kg, (11) 42007.9 kg, (12) 50828 kg. The cost incurred per order is Rp. 6,000,000