Optimizing Strength Prediction for Cemented Paste Backfills with Various Fly Ash Substitution: Computational Approach with Machine Learning Algorithms

In cemented paste backfill (CPB), fly ash (FA) can reduce cement costs. However, the chemical compositions of FA and tailings used in the CPB can vary significantly, affecting the strength values of CPBs, which can be determined through laboratory tests and play a crucial role in design operations. Therefore, developing a predictive model would be advantageous in terms of time and cost. The most critical aspect of this study is that machine learning (ML) models demonstrate high accuracy in the performance of strength prediction in experimental studies, especially in nonlinear and complex data structures, and even in the presence of uncertainty in geochemical and geophysical parameters. Among the ML algorithms, random forest (RF), artificial neural network (ANN), linear regression (LR), voting, and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) algorithms were used in this study. According to the results obtained, the XGBoost model exhibited the most robust predictive performance, evidenced by the highest correlation coefficient (R) (0.922) and the lowest mean absolute error (0.666). XGBoost also demonstrated its durability and stability by achieving the lowest relative absolute error (18.81%) and root mean square error (41.10%). Therefore, it has been understood that significant time and resource savings can be achieved in important projects by eliminating the need for experimental tests.