Temporal distribution shifts of Chum salmon (Oncorhynchus keta) with sea surface temperature changes at their southern limit in the North Pacific

Understanding the responses of marine organisms to environmental changes at their distribution limits is crucial for predicting climate-change associated habitat changes. This study analyzed the effect of sea surface temperature (SST) on the temporal distribution of Chum salmon (Oncorhynchus keta) in the eastern and southern coastal waters of Korea (ESCK) and on the southern limit of their distribution in the North Pacific. The temporal distribution of Chum in the ESCK and adjacent rivers was statistically compared based on three SST types (T1-T3). Chum were first caught in the northern and then in the southern area, with riverine migration occurring faster in the south than in the north. These migration patterns did not change with SST type. There was no significant difference in the coastal arrival timing of the Chum between T1 and T3, which respectively represented the entire region cooling either rapidly or slowly compared to an average year. In T2, in which the north cooled rapidly and the south cooled slowly, the coastal arrival timing was approximately 4 days earlier compared to T1 and T3. Moreover, as the SST type shifted from T1 to T3, the coastal residence time in the north became shorter, while in the south became longer. These findings help us to understand the adaptation strategies of Chum, and to predict changes in their distribution and resources in the North Pacific under climate change.