Risk spillovers between the financial market and macroeconomic sectors under mixed-frequency information: A frequency domain perspective
We construct the Mixed-Frequency Vector Autoregression of Frequency Domain Decomposition model, labeled as MF-VAR-FDD, to investigates the risk spillovers between financial market and the macroeconomic sectors. The MF-VAR-FDD innovatively introduces the spectral density function into the Mixed-Frequency Vector Autoregression (MF-VAR) model, providing a spectral representation of the generalized variance decomposition of the MF-VAR model. It decomposes time domain risk spillovers into high-frequency and low-frequency components, constructs the Mixed-Frequency Frequency Domain Spillover (MFFDS) index, and characterizes risk spillovers between finance and macroeconomic sectors at different frequencies from a frequency domain perspective. The research findings are as follows: First, during major crises, frequency domain risk spillover significantly intensifies, exhibiting notable time-varying characteristics. Moreover, risk spillover is mainly dominated by low-frequency spillover, while high-frequency spillover is more sensitive to crisis events, enabling more agile monitoring of market disturbances and aiding in risk prevention. Second, finance consistently represents a net risk exporter to all macroeconomic sectors, emphasizing that financial risk should remain a key focus for national regulatory authorities. Our conclusions provide additional information for the formulation of macroprudential policies.
Authors
- Zhu Chen (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6457-0622)
- X. Ma (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9831-0565)
- Mengting Li
- Jingyi Jia (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4037-5646)
Institutions
- Nanjing University of Finance and Economics (CN)
Publication Details
- Journal
- International Review of Economics & Finance
- Published
- 2025-02-26
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iref.2025.103976
- Citations
- 4
- Primary Topic
- Market Dynamics and Volatility
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 12.52