Distributed Inference for Tail Risks

For measuring tail risk with scarce extreme events, extreme value analysis is often invoked as the statistical tool to extrapolate to the tail of a distribution.The presence of large datasets benefits tail risk analysis by providing more observations for conducting extreme value analysis.However, large datasets can be stored distributedly preventing the possibility of directly analyzing them.In this paper, we introduce a comprehensive set of tools for examining the asymptotic behavior of tail empirical and quantile processes in the setting where data is distributed across multiple sources, for instance, when data are stored on multiple machines.Utilizing these tools, one can establish the oracle property for most distributed estimators in extreme value statistics in a straightforward way.We provide various examples to demonstrate the practicality and value of our proposed toolkit.

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
Statistica Sinica
Published
2025-02-26
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5705/ss.202024.0222
Primary Topic
Risk and Portfolio Optimization
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

Funders

Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
article

Distributed Inference for Tail Risks

Liujun Chen, Chen Zhou, Deyuan Li
Statistica Sinica
Risk and Portfolio Optimization
article

Distributed Inference for Tail Risks

Liujun Chen, Chen Zhou, Deyuan Li
article en

Abstract

For measuring tail risk with scarce extreme events, extreme value analysis is often invoked as the statistical tool to extrapolate to the tail of a distribution.The presence of large datasets benefits tail risk analysis by providing more observations for conducting extreme value analysis.However, large datasets can be stored distributedly preventing the possibility of directly analyzing them.In this paper, we introduce a comprehensive set of tools for examining the asymptotic behavior of tail empirical and quantile processes in the setting where data is distributed across multiple sources, for instance, when data are stored on multiple machines.Utilizing these tools, one can establish the oracle property for most distributed estimators in extreme value statistics in a straightforward way.We provide various examples to demonstrate the practicality and value of our proposed toolkit.

Statistica Sinica
National Natural Science Foundation of China
Openalex Percentile: Top 96%
Risk and Portfolio Optimization
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.