Assessment of financial and economic risks of Ukraine in the context of the global economic crisis
The article analyzes Ukraine’s financial and economic risks in the context of the global economic crisis. The process is described, and the main stages of diagnosing such risks are highlighted. The dynamics of annual GDP growth for 2019-2023 were studied compared with previous years and the base year 2019. An assessment was made of changes in net lending (borrowing) of fixed capital in the country’s economy. The key external financial and economic risks affecting the development of the national economy are identified, among which credit, debt, and budget risks are dominant. The importance of monitoring the following aspects is emphasized: analysis of the government’s economic and fiscal policies; study of factors influencing GDP growth rates, inflation rates, and exchange rate stability of currencies; assessment of industry trends and foreign investment; study of public policy in the areas of private entrepreneurship, competition, and investment attractiveness; as well as analysis of the availability of financial resources, labor resources, and infrastructure. The article also discusses the primary methods for diagnosing financial and economic risks, including analysis of macroeconomic indicators, assessment of external and internal threats to economic stability, and strategic approaches to reducing these risks. Special attention is paid to monitoring indicators of fiscal policy and debt obligations and the influence of external economic factors, such as global financial instability and geopolitical crises, on the national economy. In addition, the effectiveness of government institutions in combating economic challenges is studied, which contributes to developing recommendations for improving economic policy. The study also focuses on the need for an integrated approach to infrastructure development, access to financial resources, and efficient use of labor resources. Assessing the investment attractiveness of Ukraine in the context of global economic turmoil is an important aspect that allows for increasing the level of confidence in the national economy among foreign partners and ensuring resistance to external shocks. The article offers practical recommendations for improving macroeconomic stability, which is critical for the recovery and sustainable development of the Ukrainian economy post-crisis period. Keywords: financial and economic risks, economic model, economic crisis, national economy, economic strategy, financial and economic security.
Authors
- Н. С. Згадова (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4585-9620)
- Oleksandr Bohdanov (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8505-3675)
- Yuliia Kravchenko (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3692-9167)
- Oleksandr Kuchuhurnyi
Publication Details
- Journal
- Actual problems of innovative economy and law
- Published
- 2024-12-12
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.36887/2524-0455-2024-6-9
- Primary Topic
- Economic Issues in Ukraine
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00