The Application of the Sahm Rule to Determine the Likelihood of a Recession in 2025

Over the decades a significant issue has been the degree to which expert analysts and economists have the ability to accurately predict the onset of a recession. The studies done to track trends and the early indicators of potential recessions have had mixed results that vary as much as the experts' opinions. However, one measure of predicting recessions has its supporters and proponents. The measure known as Claudia Sahm developed the Sahm Rule. This study is a twofold analysis of the Sahm Rule and its instrumentality in the analysis and predictions for the year 2025.