Nutrient Load Fluctuations in the Bottom Water of Estuarine Lakes Under the El Niño Phenomenon: Possible Connections and Coping Strategies—Based on the Preliminary Studies of Lake Nakaumi

Estuarine lakes possess significant ecological value. Their complex hydrological environments give rise to diverse habitats, providing a home to numerous life forms. However, with the intensification of the impacts of global climate change, the estuarine lake ecosystem is facing severe challenges. Through trend analysis and differential analysis, this paper elaborates on the changes in nitrogen and phosphorus nutrients in the bottom water of Lake Nakaumi from 2013 to 2017. It analyzes the differences between the El Niño period and the non-El Niño period, speculates on the possible connections between the changes in nutrient load and the El Niño phenomenon, and uses the traditional water quality assessment method of the WQI to more intuitively demonstrate the fluctuations in nutrient load. Based on the analysis of the case of Lake Nakaumi, possible environmental management suggestions are put forward. Additionally, the paper compares and discusses the differences in the changes of lakes at adjacent latitudes during similar periods. As for the bottom water of Lake Nakaumi, there may be the following connections between the changes in its nutrient load and the El Niño phenomenon: (1) DPO4-P was most sensitive to the peak intensity of the El Niño phenomenon. (2) Compared with NO3-N, the changes in NO2-N and DPO4-P were more sensitive to the start of the El Niño cycle. (3) The El Niño phenomenon had differential impacts on various forms of nitrogen and phosphorus in Lake Nakaumi. The focus of this paper is to explore the connection between the El Niño phenomenon and the changes in the nutrient load of the bottom water of estuarine lakes and to find a method beneficial to environmental management. However, due to the limitations of the currently available data, there are still many deficiencies that need to be further addressed. It is hoped that this paper can attract the attention of relevant researchers to this issue.