Random Forest-Based Stability Prediction Modeling of Closed Wall for Goaf

To effectively mitigate the hazards posed by the blast waves of rock mass caving on closed walls during the mining process, a stability prediction method based on a random forest (RF) algorithm is proposed, which is designed to automatically identify key parameters. A machine learning model is developed using the algorithm, and its performance is evaluated through accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score metrics. The probabilistic model of the objective function is constructed using the grid search hyperparameter optimization method, allowing for the selection of the most favorable hyperparameters for evaluation. The initial prediction accuracy of the RF algorithm model is 94.6%, indicating a strong predictive capability. Further adjustments to the base classifier, maximum depth, minimum number of leaves, and minimum number of samples enhance the model’s performance, resulting in an improved prediction accuracy of 95.9%. Finally, the optimized model is applied to predict the stability of the closed walls in the actual project, and the results are consistent with the on-site situation. This demonstrates that the random forest-based stability prediction model effectively forecasts the stability of closed walls in the actual project.