Prospective Voting in the Study of Electoral Behavior in Parliamentary Elections (Using the Example of the Ural Federal District)

In modern research, there is a tendency to in-depth analysis of the economic dimension of political choice, which has found expression in the study of prospective voting, focusing on the role of future expectations in the formation of electoral preferences. The article attempts to analyze the role of prospective voting as a factor of electoral mobility depending on the factors of socio-economic situation. The focus is on the subjects of the Ural Federal District. Special emphasis is made on the Khanty-Mansi Autonomous Okrug – Yugra and the Kurgan Oblast. The choice of these regions is due to differences in their socio-economic situation. The authors state that in the Urals Federal District at the parliamentary elections the most significant factor for voters’ decision-making was the unemployment rate as opposed to monetary income. First of all, voters cast their votes for the Communist Party, and then for a Just Russia and the Liberal Democratic Party. In Khanty-Mansi Autonomous Okrug – Yugra, the unemployment factor contributed more to support for the LDPR, and in Kurgan Oblast – for the Communist Party.