On an agent-based SIR model for multi-populations

In this paper, we investigate the impact of epidemic spread in a SIR type model with saturation between multiple interacting populations. The model is derived from an average threshold that considers multiple agents. Theoretical analysis confirms the model's well-posedness, indicating that it possesses a unique solution that varies continuously on the basis of the initial conditions and parameters. Additionally, we conduct numerical simulations for a scenario involving two circulating strains, where we also explore the scenario in which the disease mutates upon transmission, leading to increased transmissibility. A comparison between the dynamics of the SIR model with and without saturation reveals that saturation results in a milder disease dynamics.

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Publication Details

Journal
Ciência e Natura
Published
2025-01-15
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5902/2179460x89848
Primary Topic
Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

On an agent-based SIR model for multi-populations

Adriano De Cezaro, Fabiana Travessini De Cezaro, Lara Beatriz Rocha Vieira
Ciência e Natura
Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
article

On an agent-based SIR model for multi-populations

Adriano De Cezaro, Fabiana Travessini De Cezaro, Lara Beatriz Rocha Vieira
article en

Abstract

In this paper, we investigate the impact of epidemic spread in a SIR type model with saturation between multiple interacting populations. The model is derived from an average threshold that considers multiple agents. Theoretical analysis confirms the model's well-posedness, indicating that it possesses a unique solution that varies continuously on the basis of the initial conditions and parameters. Additionally, we conduct numerical simulations for a scenario involving two circulating strains, where we also explore the scenario in which the disease mutates upon transmission, leading to increased transmissibility. A comparison between the dynamics of the SIR model with and without saturation reveals that saturation results in a milder disease dynamics.

Ciência e NaturaVol. 47(esp. 1)
Universidade Federal do Rio Grande (BR)
Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico, Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado do Rio Grande do Sul
Openalex Percentile: Top 95%
Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
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On an agent-based SIR model for multi-populations — Adriano De Cezaro, Fabiana Travessini De Cezaro, et al. · Ciência e Natura (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS