Larval Dispersal of Gray Snapper (Lutjanus griseus) on the West Florida Shelf

Gray snapper (Lutjanus griseus) move from inshore to offshore habitats as they mature and spawn along the West Florida Shelf. The connectivity between offshore spawning sites and inshore settlement regions along the Eastern Gulf of America (formerly Gulf of Mexico, hereafter Gulf) coast is unknown, and this study therefore predicted these larval dispersal pathways. To determine larval transport, an ocean model was integrated with the Connectivity Modeling System (CMS), which is a biophysical model that allowed for the inclusion of larval behavior and updated spawning information for the gray snapper. Our larval dispersal model showed that spawning sites offshore of Tampa, in the Florida Keys, and in the Florida Middle Grounds had the highest percentages of successfully settled larvae inshore. Larvae that were spawned at the offshore Tampa Bay and offshore Southwest Florida spawning sites were mostly transported to the Tampa Bay and Southwest Florida settlement regions, showing local retention. In contrast, larvae spawned offshore in the Florida Middle Grounds were transported northwest, exclusively to the Florida Panhandle. In addition, there was no difference in the proportion of successful larval settlers between full and new moon spawning events. Since gray snapper are an important recreational fishery in the eastern Gulf, especially off the west coast of Florida, it is important to identify spawning sites that have the largest proportions of settling larvae, such as offshore Tampa Bay.