A counterfactual analysis quantifying the COVID-19 vaccination impact in Sweden

Our mathematical model is used to analyse the impact of COVID-19 vaccination on lives saved in Sweden during 2021, but the same methodology can be applied to other countries. The counterfactual analysis offers insights into an alternative trajectory of the pandemic without vaccination. The results show the direct impact of vaccination on reducing deaths for infected individuals and shed light on the indirect effects of reduced transmission dynamics.

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Publication Details

Journal
Vaccine
Published
2025-02-20
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2025.126870
Citations
3
Primary Topic
COVID-19 epidemiological studies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
4.10

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article

A counterfactual analysis quantifying the COVID-19 vaccination impact in Sweden

Fanny Bergström, Tom Britton, Felix Günther
3 citations
Vaccine
COVID-19 epidemiological studies
4.10
article

A counterfactual analysis quantifying the COVID-19 vaccination impact in Sweden

Fanny Bergström, Tom Britton, Felix Günther
article en
3 citations

Abstract

Our mathematical model is used to analyse the impact of COVID-19 vaccination on lives saved in Sweden during 2021, but the same methodology can be applied to other countries. The counterfactual analysis offers insights into an alternative trajectory of the pandemic without vaccination. The results show the direct impact of vaccination on reducing deaths for infected individuals and shed light on the indirect effects of reduced transmission dynamics.

VaccineVol. 52
Stockholm University (SE)
NordForsk
Zero hunger
Openalex Percentile: Top 8%
COVID-19 epidemiological studies
4.10
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A counterfactual analysis quantifying the COVID-19 vaccination impact in Sweden — Fanny Bergström, Tom Britton, et al. · Vaccine (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS