Identification and attribution of weekly periodic biases in global epidemiological time series data
We present a systematic, global characterisation of these weekly biases and identify an equivalent bias in the current Haitian cholera outbreak. By comparing published COVID-19 time series to retrospective datasets from the United Kingdom (UK), we demonstrate that the weekly trends observed in the UK may be fully explained by biases in the testing and reporting processes. These conclusions play an important role in forecasting healthcare demand and determining suitable interventions for future infectious disease outbreaks.
Authors
- David J. Gavaghan (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8311-3200)
- Kit Gallagher (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1401-115X)
- Richard Creswell (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9491-1897)
- Ben C. Lambert (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4274-4158)
Institutions
- University of Exeter (GB)
- University of Oxford (GB)
Publication Details
- Journal
- BMC Research Notes
- Published
- 2025-02-20
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1186/s13104-025-07145-y
- Citations
- 2
- Primary Topic
- COVID-19 epidemiological studies
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 4.10
Funders
- Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council