Identification and attribution of weekly periodic biases in global epidemiological time series data

We present a systematic, global characterisation of these weekly biases and identify an equivalent bias in the current Haitian cholera outbreak. By comparing published COVID-19 time series to retrospective datasets from the United Kingdom (UK), we demonstrate that the weekly trends observed in the UK may be fully explained by biases in the testing and reporting processes. These conclusions play an important role in forecasting healthcare demand and determining suitable interventions for future infectious disease outbreaks.

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Publication Details

Journal
BMC Research Notes
Published
2025-02-20
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1186/s13104-025-07145-y
Citations
2
Primary Topic
COVID-19 epidemiological studies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
4.10

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article

Identification and attribution of weekly periodic biases in global epidemiological time series data

David J. Gavaghan, Kit Gallagher, Richard Creswell, Ben C. Lambert
2 citations
BMC Research Notes
COVID-19 epidemiological studies
4.10
article

Identification and attribution of weekly periodic biases in global epidemiological time series data

David J. Gavaghan, Kit Gallagher, Richard Creswell, Ben C. Lambert
article en
2 citations

Abstract

We present a systematic, global characterisation of these weekly biases and identify an equivalent bias in the current Haitian cholera outbreak. By comparing published COVID-19 time series to retrospective datasets from the United Kingdom (UK), we demonstrate that the weekly trends observed in the UK may be fully explained by biases in the testing and reporting processes. These conclusions play an important role in forecasting healthcare demand and determining suitable interventions for future infectious disease outbreaks.

BMC Research NotesVol. 18(1)
University of Exeter (GB), University of Oxford (GB)
Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council
Openalex Percentile: Top 8%
COVID-19 epidemiological studies
4.10
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