Inflation and Economic Growth in the Sudan: An Empirical Analysis

Objectives: The study's objective is to investigate the relationship between inflation and economic growth in Sudan from 1982 to 2020. Methods: To achieve this objective, the study co-integration analysis within an auto-regressive distributed lag (ARDL) methodology. The bound test revealed that the model's variables are co-integrated in the long term, with the significance of the error correction term further confirming this long-term relationship, while the ERC should focus on short-term dynamics. Results: The results indicate that the growth rate of real GDP per capita is positively and significantly co-integrated with the growth rate of capital per capita, whereas it is negatively and significantly co-integrated with the inflation rate. Conclusions: The study recommends that policymakers consider this inverse relationship when formulating economic policies.

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Publication Details

Journal
Global Journal of Economic and Business
Published
2025-02-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.31559/gjeb2025.15.1.7
Primary Topic
Economic Theory and Policy
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Inflation and Economic Growth in the Sudan: An Empirical Analysis

Mohieldin Ali Elhassan, Gamaleldeen Osman Talha
Global Journal of Economic and Business
Economic Theory and Policy
article

Inflation and Economic Growth in the Sudan: An Empirical Analysis

Mohieldin Ali Elhassan, Gamaleldeen Osman Talha
article en

Abstract

Objectives: The study's objective is to investigate the relationship between inflation and economic growth in Sudan from 1982 to 2020. Methods: To achieve this objective, the study co-integration analysis within an auto-regressive distributed lag (ARDL) methodology. The bound test revealed that the model's variables are co-integrated in the long term, with the significance of the error correction term further confirming this long-term relationship, while the ERC should focus on short-term dynamics. Results: The results indicate that the growth rate of real GDP per capita is positively and significantly co-integrated with the growth rate of capital per capita, whereas it is negatively and significantly co-integrated with the inflation rate. Conclusions: The study recommends that policymakers consider this inverse relationship when formulating economic policies.

Global Journal of Economic and BusinessVol. 15(1)
Openalex Percentile: Top 96%
Economic Theory and Policy
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