Intraseasonal synchronization of extreme rainfall between North India and the Sahel

Abstract The Indian Summer Monsoon (ISM) and the West African Monsoon (WAM) are dominant drivers of boreal summer precipitation variability in tropical and subtropical regions. Although the regional precipitation dynamics in these two regions have been extensively studied, the intraseasonal interactions between the ISM and WAM remain poorly understood. Here, we employ a climate network approach based on extreme rainfall events to uncover synchronously occurring extreme rainfall patterns across the two monsoon systems. We reveal strong synchronization of extreme rainfall events during the peak monsoon period in July and August, linking heavy rainfall over North India to that over the Sahel with a lag of around 12 days. We find that La Niña like conditions in combination with the Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillation (BSISO) and an enhanced Tropical Easterly Jet (TEJ) foster the synchronization between the ISM and the WAM. The northward‐propagating BSISO triggers African Easterly Wave activity, bounded between a reduced African Easterly Jet and the TEJ. These induce westward‐traveling anomalous deep convection over the Sahel, which causes extreme rainfall events to occur.

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Publication Details

Journal
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society
Published
2025-02-18
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4946
Citations
10
Primary Topic
Climate variability and models
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
11.05

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article

Intraseasonal synchronization of extreme rainfall between North India and the Sahel

Niklas Boers, Bedartha Goswami, Kieran M. R. Hunt, Felix Strnad
10 citations
Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society
Climate variability and models
11.05
article

Intraseasonal synchronization of extreme rainfall between North India and the Sahel

Niklas Boers, Bedartha Goswami, Kieran M. R. Hunt, Felix Strnad
article en
10 citations

Abstract

Abstract The Indian Summer Monsoon (ISM) and the West African Monsoon (WAM) are dominant drivers of boreal summer precipitation variability in tropical and subtropical regions. Although the regional precipitation dynamics in these two regions have been extensively studied, the intraseasonal interactions between the ISM and WAM remain poorly understood. Here, we employ a climate network approach based on extreme rainfall events to uncover synchronously occurring extreme rainfall patterns across the two monsoon systems. We reveal strong synchronization of extreme rainfall events during the peak monsoon period in July and August, linking heavy rainfall over North India to that over the Sahel with a lag of around 12 days. We find that La Niña like conditions in combination with the Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillation (BSISO) and an enhanced Tropical Easterly Jet (TEJ) foster the synchronization between the ISM and the WAM. The northward‐propagating BSISO triggers African Easterly Wave activity, bounded between a reduced African Easterly Jet and the TEJ. These induce westward‐traveling anomalous deep convection over the Sahel, which causes extreme rainfall events to occur.

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological SocietyVol. 151(769)
University of Exeter (GB), National Centre for Atmospheric Science (GB), Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (DE), Technical University of Munich (DE), University of Reading (GB), University of Tübingen (DE)
Sight Research UK, Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft, Horizon 2020 Framework Programme, Natural Environment Research Council, H2020 European Research Council, H2020 Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions
Openalex Percentile: Top 1%
Climate variability and models
11.05
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