Analysis Of The Influence Of Production, Price, Land Area And Exchange Rates On Indonesian Tobacco Exports

Indonesia's tobacco exports are currently experiencing a setback. For this reason, this research uses the ARDL (Autoregressive Distributed Lag) model with variables of production, land area, international prices and exchange rates which influence Indonesian Tobacco Exports both in the short and long term. For the short term, the ARDL model forecasting variables for production, land area, international prices and exchange rates have a significant effect on Indonesian tobacco exports, while for the long term the variables of international prices and exchange rates have a significant effect on Indonesian tobacco exports.

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Journal
Jurnal Ilmu Sosial Mamangan
Published
2025-02-18
DOI
https://doi.org/10.22202/mamangan.v12i3.5450
Primary Topic
Economic Growth and Fiscal Policies
Type
article
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article

Analysis Of The Influence Of Production, Price, Land Area And Exchange Rates On Indonesian Tobacco Exports

Jusmer Sihotang, Elvis Fresly Purba, Lastri Lastri, Clear Rita Laoli
Jurnal Ilmu Sosial Mamangan
Economic Growth and Fiscal Policies
article

Analysis Of The Influence Of Production, Price, Land Area And Exchange Rates On Indonesian Tobacco Exports

Jusmer Sihotang, Elvis Fresly Purba, Lastri Lastri, Clear Rita Laoli
article en

Abstract

Indonesia's tobacco exports are currently experiencing a setback. For this reason, this research uses the ARDL (Autoregressive Distributed Lag) model with variables of production, land area, international prices and exchange rates which influence Indonesian Tobacco Exports both in the short and long term. For the short term, the ARDL model forecasting variables for production, land area, international prices and exchange rates have a significant effect on Indonesian tobacco exports, while for the long term the variables of international prices and exchange rates have a significant effect on Indonesian tobacco exports.

Jurnal Ilmu Sosial MamanganVol. 12(3)
University of HKBP Nommensen (ID)
Openalex Percentile: Top 96%
Economic Growth and Fiscal Policies
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