How do humans respond to large realized losses?

• We test how sensitive human beings are to different sizes of realized losses. • The study uses data from a decision setting with life-changing monetary stakes. • Large realized losses lead people to behave more cautiously in later periods. In a controlled field setting, in which the majority of people in our sample lose more than £90,000, we examine how human beings respond to major financial losses. University ethics boards would not allow this kind of huge-loss phenomenon to be studied with normal social-science experiments. Yet the scientific and practical issues at stake are unusually important ones. In the analyzed gameshow setting, individuals are handed £100,000 in cash. They then have to make risky decisions. Facing a sequence of seven questions, individuals are required to distribute their cash endowment over a set of possible answers. Participants lose any cash placed on a wrong answer. In a sample of British participants, we find that people become increasingly more cautious as they lose more of their cash endowment. A realized prior loss of £75,000 or more increases the propensity to fully diversify by 50 percentage points compared to a prior loss of £25,000. We find a similar cautious response in a smaller sample of US participants when the stakes are raised to $1 million US dollars. Our study appears to be the first to be able to calculate systematically how human beings react to large and unrecoverable financial losses.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Economic Psychology
Published
2025-02-18
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joep.2025.102805
Citations
2
Primary Topic
Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
4.54
Controls
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article

How do humans respond to large realized losses?

Redzo Mujcic, Nattavudh Powdthavee
2 citations
Journal of Economic Psychology
Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics
4.54
article

How do humans respond to large realized losses?

Redzo Mujcic, Nattavudh Powdthavee
article en
2 citations

Abstract

• We test how sensitive human beings are to different sizes of realized losses. • The study uses data from a decision setting with life-changing monetary stakes. • Large realized losses lead people to behave more cautiously in later periods. In a controlled field setting, in which the majority of people in our sample lose more than £90,000, we examine how human beings respond to major financial losses. University ethics boards would not allow this kind of huge-loss phenomenon to be studied with normal social-science experiments. Yet the scientific and practical issues at stake are unusually important ones. In the analyzed gameshow setting, individuals are handed £100,000 in cash. They then have to make risky decisions. Facing a sequence of seven questions, individuals are required to distribute their cash endowment over a set of possible answers. Participants lose any cash placed on a wrong answer. In a sample of British participants, we find that people become increasingly more cautious as they lose more of their cash endowment. A realized prior loss of £75,000 or more increases the propensity to fully diversify by 50 percentage points compared to a prior loss of £25,000. We find a similar cautious response in a smaller sample of US participants when the stakes are raised to $1 million US dollars. Our study appears to be the first to be able to calculate systematically how human beings react to large and unrecoverable financial losses.

Journal of Economic PsychologyVol. 107
Nanyang Technological University (SG), University of Warwick (GB)
Openalex Percentile: Top 9%
Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics
4.54
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