How do humans respond to large realized losses?
• We test how sensitive human beings are to different sizes of realized losses. • The study uses data from a decision setting with life-changing monetary stakes. • Large realized losses lead people to behave more cautiously in later periods. In a controlled field setting, in which the majority of people in our sample lose more than £90,000, we examine how human beings respond to major financial losses. University ethics boards would not allow this kind of huge-loss phenomenon to be studied with normal social-science experiments. Yet the scientific and practical issues at stake are unusually important ones. In the analyzed gameshow setting, individuals are handed £100,000 in cash. They then have to make risky decisions. Facing a sequence of seven questions, individuals are required to distribute their cash endowment over a set of possible answers. Participants lose any cash placed on a wrong answer. In a sample of British participants, we find that people become increasingly more cautious as they lose more of their cash endowment. A realized prior loss of £75,000 or more increases the propensity to fully diversify by 50 percentage points compared to a prior loss of £25,000. We find a similar cautious response in a smaller sample of US participants when the stakes are raised to $1 million US dollars. Our study appears to be the first to be able to calculate systematically how human beings react to large and unrecoverable financial losses.
Authors
- Redzo Mujcic (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7796-732X)
- Nattavudh Powdthavee (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9345-4882)
Institutions
- Nanyang Technological University (SG)
- University of Warwick (GB)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Journal of Economic Psychology
- Published
- 2025-02-18
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joep.2025.102805
- Citations
- 2
- Primary Topic
- Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 4.54