Prediction of Energetic Electrons in the Inner Radiation Belt and Slot Region With a Double‐Layer LSTM Neural Network Model

Abstract The prediction of high‐energy radiation belt electrons is vital for preventing their damage to satellites. Previous machine learning models mostly predict the fluxes of high‐energy electrons (hundreds of keV to MeV) in the outer radiation belt and slot region ( L > 2.6). Here, we trained a double‐layer long short‐term memory (LSTM) neural network model and successfully predicted the spatial and temporal variations of the 108–749 keV electrons in the inner radiation belt ( L ∼ 1.2–2.2) and slot region ( L ∼ 2.2–3.2). Under different solar or geomagnetic conditions, the prediction efficiency of the present model maintains 0.6–0.99 in the inner belt and slot region, and its prediction error is less than 0.48. The high‐resolution (∼11 s) LSTM model could predict the rapid injection events of high‐energy electrons within several minutes in the radiation belts.

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Publication Details

Journal
Space Weather
Published
2025-02-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1029/2024sw004141
Primary Topic
Ionosphere and magnetosphere dynamics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Prediction of Energetic Electrons in the Inner Radiation Belt and Slot Region With a Double‐Layer LSTM Neural Network Model

Ling Yang, Jinbin Cao, L. Y. Li
Space Weather
Ionosphere and magnetosphere dynamics
article

Prediction of Energetic Electrons in the Inner Radiation Belt and Slot Region With a Double‐Layer LSTM Neural Network Model

Ling Yang, Jinbin Cao, L. Y. Li
article en

Abstract

Abstract The prediction of high‐energy radiation belt electrons is vital for preventing their damage to satellites. Previous machine learning models mostly predict the fluxes of high‐energy electrons (hundreds of keV to MeV) in the outer radiation belt and slot region ( L > 2.6). Here, we trained a double‐layer long short‐term memory (LSTM) neural network model and successfully predicted the spatial and temporal variations of the 108–749 keV electrons in the inner radiation belt ( L ∼ 1.2–2.2) and slot region ( L ∼ 2.2–3.2). Under different solar or geomagnetic conditions, the prediction efficiency of the present model maintains 0.6–0.99 in the inner belt and slot region, and its prediction error is less than 0.48. The high‐resolution (∼11 s) LSTM model could predict the rapid injection events of high‐energy electrons within several minutes in the radiation belts.

Space WeatherVol. 23(2)
Beihang University (CN), Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (CN)
National Natural Science Foundation of China
Openalex Percentile: Top 98%
Ionosphere and magnetosphere dynamics
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Prediction of Energetic Electrons in the Inner Radiation Belt and Slot Region With a Double‐Layer LSTM Neural Network Model — Ling Yang, Jinbin Cao, et al. · Space Weather (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS