Analysis of Modern Load Characteristics and Energy Consumption Prediction under Rural Distribution Network

In response to the challenges posed by the integration of modern loads into rural distribution networks on the power supply capacity and quality of the distribution network, this paper takes Jilin Province as an example to conduct research on the characteristics analysis and energy consumption prediction of modern loads in rural distribution networks. Firstly, based on the energy consumption situation of modern rural areas in China and combined with the actual operation of rural distribution networks, the typical load characteristics of modern rural areas were analyzed. Then, a modern load energy consumption prediction model for rural distribution networks based on grey prediction theory was constructed. Finally, based on the energy consumption data of rural modernization load in recent years, the future energy consumption situation of rural modernization load in Jilin Province was predicted, further verifying the effectiveness of the prediction model proposed in this paper, and providing rational suggestions for the construction of the energy consumption system for rural modernization in Jilin Province in the future.

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Publication Details

Published
2024-09-20
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/epee63731.2024.10875458
Primary Topic
Regional Development and Environment
Type
article
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Analysis of Modern Load Characteristics and Energy Consumption Prediction under Rural Distribution Network

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Analysis of Modern Load Characteristics and Energy Consumption Prediction under Rural Distribution Network

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article en

Abstract

In response to the challenges posed by the integration of modern loads into rural distribution networks on the power supply capacity and quality of the distribution network, this paper takes Jilin Province as an example to conduct research on the characteristics analysis and energy consumption prediction of modern loads in rural distribution networks. Firstly, based on the energy consumption situation of modern rural areas in China and combined with the actual operation of rural distribution networks, the typical load characteristics of modern rural areas were analyzed. Then, a modern load energy consumption prediction model for rural distribution networks based on grey prediction theory was constructed. Finally, based on the energy consumption data of rural modernization load in recent years, the future energy consumption situation of rural modernization load in Jilin Province was predicted, further verifying the effectiveness of the prediction model proposed in this paper, and providing rational suggestions for the construction of the energy consumption system for rural modernization in Jilin Province in the future.

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