Technical Research on Simulation and Predictive Analysis of Wind Farms in Power Systems

To address the issue of insufficient accuracy in wind power output forecasting, this paper proposes a Support Vector Machine (VSM) model based on similar day matching and kernel entropy component analysis for wind power prediction. The model effectively extracts similar day features through the similar day approach and optimizes feature representation by combining it with kernel entropy component analysis (KECA), ultimately employing the SVM model for wind farm power forecasting. Simulation results demonstrate that using this model for optimizing wind power generation predictions enhances the accuracy of wind power forecasts, surpassing the precision of single-method predictions. The Similar Day-KECA-SVM method leverages historical data from similar days and features extracted through KECA, with SVM performing the final prediction. This approach adeptly handles complex patterns and nonlinear relationships in wind power forecasting, thereby achieving superior predictive performance.