Monetary policy interactions: The policy rate, asset purchases, and optimal policy with an interest rate peg

We study monetary policy in a New Keynesian model with a variable credit spread and scope for central bank asset purchases to matter. A novel financial and labor market interaction generates an endogenous cost-push channel in the Phillips curve and a credit wedge in the IS curve. These channels arise due to a liquidity premium to long-term debt present in our model. The “divine coincidence” holds with the nominal short rate and central bank balance sheet available as policy tools—dual-instrument policy. Targeting the liquidity premium using balance sheet policy provides a determinate equilibrium with a fixed policy rate, as does inflation-targeting balance sheet policy. While the liquidity premium in our model depends on unobservable components, the slope of the yield curve serves as a proxy for the liquidity premium when thinking about implementable monetary policy strategies that respond to observable variables alone. We quantify the welfare costs to various monetary policy strategies relative to the analytically derived optimal dual-instrument policy.

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Publication Details

Journal
European Economic Review
Published
2025-02-15
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.euroecorev.2025.104985
Primary Topic
Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Monetary policy interactions: The policy rate, asset purchases, and optimal policy with an interest rate peg

Jonathan Rawls, Ronald Mau, Isabel Gödl-Hanisch
European Economic Review
Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
article

Monetary policy interactions: The policy rate, asset purchases, and optimal policy with an interest rate peg

Jonathan Rawls, Ronald Mau, Isabel Gödl-Hanisch
article en

Abstract

We study monetary policy in a New Keynesian model with a variable credit spread and scope for central bank asset purchases to matter. A novel financial and labor market interaction generates an endogenous cost-push channel in the Phillips curve and a credit wedge in the IS curve. These channels arise due to a liquidity premium to long-term debt present in our model. The “divine coincidence” holds with the nominal short rate and central bank balance sheet available as policy tools—dual-instrument policy. Targeting the liquidity premium using balance sheet policy provides a determinate equilibrium with a fixed policy rate, as does inflation-targeting balance sheet policy. While the liquidity premium in our model depends on unobservable components, the slope of the yield curve serves as a proxy for the liquidity premium when thinking about implementable monetary policy strategies that respond to observable variables alone. We quantify the welfare costs to various monetary policy strategies relative to the analytically derived optimal dual-instrument policy.

European Economic ReviewVol. 174
Bank of America (US), LMU Klinikum (DE), Centre for Economic Policy Research (GB), Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas (US), Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München (DE)
Openalex Percentile: Top 96%
Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
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