Current State of Lake Kotokel (Eastern Cisbaikalia, Russia): Hydrochemical Characteristics, Water Quality, and Trophic Status

Lake Kotokel, the largest lake on the eastern shore of Lake Baikal, has historically served as an important fishery and recreational resource. However, it underwent an ecological crisis and a Haff disease outbreak in 2008–2009. Hydraulic engineering interventions were subsequently implemented, and the lake was closed to tourism and fishing for an extended period. This study provides the first comprehensive analysis of Lake Kotokel’s water level fluctuations from 1985 to 2022 and evaluates hydrochemical data collected between 2015 and 2024. A comparative assessment of the seasonal variability in Lake Kotokel’s condition during 2023–2024 and 2008–2009 was conducted using various water quality indices, including the Russian Specific Combinatorial Water Pollution Index (SCWPI) and Basic Anthropogenic Load Index (ALI), as well as the international National Sanitation Foundation Water Quality Index (NSF-WQI) and Canadian Council of Ministers of the Environment Water Quality Index (CCME-WQI). Trophic state indices, such as Carlson’s Trophic State Index (CTSI) and the Trophic Index (TRIX), were also applied. The analysis revealed a seasonal decline in water quality, transitioning from pure (“excellent”) and “light eutrophic” index classifications in spring to polluted (“marginal”) and “hypertrophic” index classifications in summer and autumn. This study demonstrated that a combination of unfavorable factors, including significant lake-level fluctuations, prolonged high temperatures during the vegetative period, and the discharge of fracture-vein waters, led to a sharp decline in water quality and an increase in the lake’s trophic status. Elevated levels of iron, manganese, COD, pH, and ammonium detected in water samples in 2024, alongside incidents of fry mortality in spring and summer and intense algal blooms, raise concerns as they may signal a potential recurrence of Haff disease in the lake.