Analysis of the burden of intracerebral hemorrhage in the Asian population aged 45 and older and ARIMA model prediction trends: a systematic study based on the GBD 2021

The disease burden of ICH in Asia varies by gender and age group. According to ARIMA model predictions, while the overall burden of ICH is expected to decline over the next 20 years, the age-standardized prevalence rate is projected to increase due to population aging. Given the high mortality and disability rates associated with ICH, its disease burden remains significant and requires focused attention. Strengthening screening and hypertension management in high-risk elderly populations, along with community health education and early intervention, is recommended to reduce the risk of ICH.