SolarPred: Hybrid Machine Learning Based Time Series Prediction Model for Solar Energy Applications

The excessive use of fossil fuels has a detrimen-tal effect on the environment, leading to a global increase in the need for energy harvesting technologies from diverse renewable energy sources. Solar energy is a widely recognized and extensively utilized renewable energy source for generating power in various applications. The performance of Photovoltaic (PV) panels is significantly impacted by environmental variables. This led to fluctuating power output, raising concerns about energy security and iddentified as a significant research interest. Therefore, it has become crucial to have a precise framework for predicting solar power output. This article presents an advanced hybrid Machine Learning (ML) model that utilizes time series data to accurately forecast the output power of a solar system. Publicly available dataset has been used for training and testing of the proposed model. The proposed work surpasses the benchmark ML models by exhibiting coefficient of determination (R2) as high as 0.828 and Mean Absolute Error (MAE) as low as 0.231.

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Publication Details

Published
2024-11-29
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/aespc63931.2024.10872218
Citations
2
Primary Topic
Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.69
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article

SolarPred: Hybrid Machine Learning Based Time Series Prediction Model for Solar Energy Applications

Prajnyajit Mohanty, Umesh Chandra Pati, Kamalakanta Mahapatra, Aella Govinda Rajulu
2 citations
Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics
0.69
article

SolarPred: Hybrid Machine Learning Based Time Series Prediction Model for Solar Energy Applications

Prajnyajit Mohanty, Umesh Chandra Pati, Kamalakanta Mahapatra, Aella Govinda Rajulu
article en
2 citations

Abstract

The excessive use of fossil fuels has a detrimen-tal effect on the environment, leading to a global increase in the need for energy harvesting technologies from diverse renewable energy sources. Solar energy is a widely recognized and extensively utilized renewable energy source for generating power in various applications. The performance of Photovoltaic (PV) panels is significantly impacted by environmental variables. This led to fluctuating power output, raising concerns about energy security and iddentified as a significant research interest. Therefore, it has become crucial to have a precise framework for predicting solar power output. This article presents an advanced hybrid Machine Learning (ML) model that utilizes time series data to accurately forecast the output power of a solar system. Publicly available dataset has been used for training and testing of the proposed model. The proposed work surpasses the benchmark ML models by exhibiting coefficient of determination (R2) as high as 0.828 and Mean Absolute Error (MAE) as low as 0.231.

National Institute of Technology Rourkela (IN)
Affordable and clean energy
Openalex Percentile: Top 22%
Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics
0.69
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