Projections of single-level indirect lumbar interbody fusion volume and associated costs for Medicare patients to 2050

Large increases in the utilization and costs of ALIF/OLIF/LLIF are anticipated through 2050. By 2030, the estimated carrying capacity for ALIF/OLIF/LLIF expenditures is projected to reach approximately $75.6 million, constrained by CMS expenditure limits and market size. Prophet model projections indicate that expenditures for ALIF/OLIF/LLIF are expected to exceed this cap by the end of the decade.

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Publication Details

Journal
North American Spine Society Journal (NASSJ)
Published
2025-02-13
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.xnsj.2025.100597
Citations
2
Primary Topic
Orthopaedic implants and arthroplasty
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
4.01

Funders

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article

Projections of single-level indirect lumbar interbody fusion volume and associated costs for Medicare patients to 2050

Kyle Mani, Yaroslav Gelfand, Jonathan Krystal, Ananth Eleswarapu et al.
2 citations
North American Spine Society Journal (NASSJ)
Orthopaedic implants and arthroplasty
4.01
article

Projections of single-level indirect lumbar interbody fusion volume and associated costs for Medicare patients to 2050

Kyle Mani, Yaroslav Gelfand, Jonathan Krystal, Ananth Eleswarapu, Noel O. Akioyamen, Mitchell Stephen Fourman, Reza Yassari, Samuel Goldman, Saikiran Murthy, Emily Kleinbart
article en
2 citations

Abstract

Large increases in the utilization and costs of ALIF/OLIF/LLIF are anticipated through 2050. By 2030, the estimated carrying capacity for ALIF/OLIF/LLIF expenditures is projected to reach approximately $75.6 million, constrained by CMS expenditure limits and market size. Prophet model projections indicate that expenditures for ALIF/OLIF/LLIF are expected to exceed this cap by the end of the decade.

North American Spine Society Journal (NASSJ)Vol. 22
Albert Einstein College of Medicine (US), Montefiore Medical Center (US), Neurological Surgery (US)
Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Yeshiva University
Openalex Percentile: Top 9%
Orthopaedic implants and arthroplasty
4.01
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