Evidence-Aware Multi-Modal Data Fusion and its Application to Total Knee Replacement Prediction

Deep neural networks have been widely studied to predict a medical condition, such as total knee replacement (TKR). It has shown that data of different modalities, such as imaging data, clinical variables, and demographic information, provide complementary information and thus can improve the prediction accuracy together. However, the data sources of various modalities may not always be of high quality, and each modality may have only partial information of medical condition. Thus, predictions from different modalities can be in conflict, and the final prediction may fail in the presence of such a conflict. Therefore, it is important to account for the reliability of each source data and the prediction output when making a final decision. In this paper, we propose an evidence-aware multimodal data fusion framework based on the Dempster-Shafer theory (DST). The backbone models contain an image branch, a non-image branch and a fusion branch. For each branch, there is an evidence network that takes the extracted features as input and outputs an evidence score, which is designed to represent the reliability of the output from the current branch. The output probabilities along with the evidence scores from multiple branches are combined with the Dempster's combination rule to make a final prediction. Experimental results on the public OA initiative (OAI) dataset for the TKR prediction task show that the proposed method has better performance by accounting for conflicts from various modalities.